When the Third World War starts and what will happen to Belarus then. World War 3 Predictions You Didn't Know World War 3
Under the Third World War is meant a global military conflict. To date, questions such as "Will there be a third world war and when will it start" are no longer fantastic inventions, but quite real fears of citizens. In addition, now, given the growing tension on the world stage, such issues are more relevant than ever.
All prerequisites in the world lead to a new vast war. It would seem that in our time the word "Third World War" no one will ever pronounce, because this very concept seems to have been erased with the liquidation of the "evil empire". And, it seems, there is no one with whom to wage a continental struggle (as it was in World War II) or a nuclear one (it is assumed that this is how the Third will take place).
Someone thinks in images and imagines the Third World War like this: trenches, cracks in the black, incinerated earth, the “enemy” somewhere beyond the horizon ... These ideas are written off and formulated on the basis of many films and stories about the terrible and so distant war of our fathers and grandfathers. This is the Great Patriotic War. Or World War II. But World War III will not be like that.
Many are convinced that a future war is already underway. The media, at least daily and tirelessly, with the importunity of a bored fly, tell us about it. The so-called information battle. So who are we fighting and why? History repeats itself, bringing to the world a new global conflict over land ownership. However, now this land, in addition to the population and territories, must have another important quality: resources.
Gas, coal, oil. This raw material is the engine of all the economies of the world. And the central actors in a future war, according to experts, will be "sworn friends" - two powers that have every opportunity to mutually destroy each other and the entire planet, using their stocks of nuclear weapons.
Where to expect war
Do not think that the threat should be expected from Europe. She is busy with deep introspection and elimination of "economic fleas". Europe poses no danger to Russia. The true enemy will come from afar, he will come from across the ocean. It is unlikely that anyone will be surprised by the assumption, because ever since the Fulton speech in 1946, the future enemy has been clearly defined and his name is no secret to anyone in Russia.
It would seem, well, what does America care about us? What will Russia do wrong again? What benefit will the United States want to extract and what will it try to teach the “simple Russian peasant”? The answer is simple - the resources and, perhaps, the ambitions of an equally powerful country that does not tolerate competition.
Also, one should not forget the "peacemaker" represented by the EU. Now this peacemaker is more like a provocateur who cheerfully dances to the tune of the United States. As if echoing from the countries of Europe, a repetition of the exclamations of the United States is heard - sanctions, sanctions, sanctions again and ... the Third World War.
The global integration of societies and economies has led to the wide scale and inevitability of a new war that will engulf the whole world. The ability to receive news practically "first hand", online or thanks to satellite television, has given humanity an amazing privilege to learn everything much faster than a dozen years ago.
It is worth noting, however, that the flow of information pouring completely discouraged people from the desire to critically evaluate and analyze the events and facts provided. After all, for most users, a string of democratic revolutions, coups d'état and local military skirmishes are simply disparate parts of world politics that will eventually become history.
But is it? This is a question that will remain unanswered. Whether we believe in Masons, "world puppeteers" and "almighty rulers of the planet", whether we rely on the sanity and prudence of the rulers in using or not using nuclear weapons - all this does not affect the events taking place in the world.
It is quite possible that the Third World War is just being conducted only on computer monitors, televisions and in the headphones of radio lovers. But the fact that it is already beginning, unleashing, as if in a spiral, a global conflict is a fact.
At the same time, armed conflicts of a local nature in different parts of the world clearly tell us that the Third World War is not far off, the only question remains - when will it begin. It should also be understood that this will not simply be a military conflict on a global scale, but, quite possibly, a real nuclear war, the result of which could be the almost complete extinction of mankind.
In accordance with the conspiracy theory, the Freemasons intend to reduce the number of people on the planet to 1 billion. According to members of the secret society, it is precisely this number of inhabitants that will be optimal for reasonable consumption and complete control of natural resources.
In any case, the use of biological weapons to reduce the population is too dangerous. We must not forget that substances are capable of mutating and, quite possibly, the Masons themselves will not be able to protect themselves from their own “seeds of evil”, since they will not have a vaccine.
Thus, it is the nuclear Third World War that is the most considered by experts option for the development of further events on the part of the Freemasons with their desire to restore world order with total control.
World War III: Clairvoyant Predictions
In the conditions of the world, frozen on the threshold of something global and frightening, people listen to everything that gives even the slightest bit believable picture of the future. It seems that the war that will engulf the countries is inevitable. Look only at the confrontation between different civilizations, radical ideologies and the threat of terrorism.
Do not forget about natural disasters and catastrophes that happened through the fault of mankind itself. They also provoked a struggle for the necessary resources - energy sources and clean water.
Both today and many years ago, sages, scientists and amateurs tried to decipher the ancient records, predictions and prophecies of famous psychics and sorcerers in order to find answers to many questions of interest to the people. The most important question to which one wants to find a soothing answer is whether there will be a Third World War.
Hermit Kasyan predicted a tectonic catastrophe, after which people would pour into the surviving territories in hungry crowds, causing even greater destruction, carrying the final death for the peoples.
According to Alois Ihlmeier at the very beginning of the Third World War, bacteriological and chemical weapons will be used, atomic rockets will be launched. The East will declare war on Europe. Diseases, as if from a cornucopia, will begin to fall on people, producing terrible, unprecedented epidemics. Due to the movement of tectonic plates, many territories will become uninhabitable and this will cause the attack of Muslims and Asians. The seer also says that Syria will become the key either to peace or to the start of a world war.
Forest seer Mulchiazl, in turn, noted that the main sign of the coming war would be "construction fever" - like bees in a hive, peoples would erect huge honeycombs, filling the planet. It is quite possible that the prophet had in mind the preoccupation of mankind with the material side of life more than the spiritual.
The Great in his quatrains wrote that the war would begin in the 21st century and last for 27 years. This bloody and destructive war will come from the East.
The blind woman said that the global war would start from Syria, spread to Europe and move on. A massive battle is brewing between the Christian and Muslim worlds.
Grigory Rasputin spoke of three snakes that would bring great destruction. There have already been two world wars, which means that humanity is waiting for new tests.
The situation is truly threatening. But, despite the fact that the whole world is now asking the question: when will the war, we must not forget that it, quite possibly, has already begun. And the war began in our souls. Now material goods have been put in the first place, and not the laughter of a child or the smile of a mother.
Sincerely love, sympathize, help has long been out of date. But if we begin to think more often about our own souls and the common good, perhaps we will be able to avoid a bloody slaughter.
Socio-political tension is constantly growing in the world. And some experts predict that everything can result in a global conflict. How realistic is it in the short term?
The risk remains
It is unlikely that today someone is pursuing the goal of unleashing a world war. Previously, if a large-scale conflict was brewing, the instigator always expected to end it as quickly as possible and with minimal losses. However, as history shows, almost all "blitzkriegs" resulted in a protracted confrontation involving a huge amount of human and material resources. Such wars hurt both the loser and the winner.
Nevertheless, wars have always been and, unfortunately, will arise, because someone wants to have more resources, and someone is defending their borders, including from mass illegal migration, fighting terrorism or demanding the restoration of their rights in accordance with with previous agreements.
In the event that countries still decide to get involved in a global war, then, according to many experts, they will certainly be divided into different camps, which will be approximately equal in strength. The cumulative military, primarily nuclear, potential of the powers that hypothetically take part in the collision is capable of destroying all life on the planet dozens of times. How likely is it that the coalitions will start this suicidal war? Analysts say that it is not great, but the danger remains.
Political poles
The modern world order is far from what it was after the Second World War. However, formally it continues to exist on the basis of the Yalta and Bretton Woods agreements of the states of the anti-Hitler coalition. The only thing that has changed is the balance of power that was formed during the Cold War. The two poles of world geopolitics today, like half a century ago, are determined by Russia and the United States.
Russia crossed the Rubicon, and this did not pass without a trace and painlessly for her: she temporarily lost her superpower status and lost her traditional allies. However, our country has managed to preserve its integrity, maintain its influence in the post-Soviet space, revive the military-industrial complex and acquire new strategic partners.
The financial and political elite of the United States, as in the good old days, under democratic slogans, continues to carry out military expansion far from its borders, at the same time successfully imposing on the leading countries an “anti-crisis” and “anti-terrorist” policy that is beneficial for itself.
In recent years, China has been persistently wedged into the confrontation between Russia and the United States. The Eastern dragon, while maintaining good relations with Russia, nevertheless does not take sides. Possessing the largest army and carrying out rearmament on an unprecedented scale, he has every reason to do so.
A united Europe also remains an influential player on the world stage. Despite the dependence on the North Atlantic Alliance, certain forces in the Old World are in favor of an independent political course. Not far off is the reconstruction of the armed forces of the European Union, which will be carried out by Germany and France. In the face of energy shortages, Europe will act decisively, analysts say.
It is impossible not to pay attention to the growing threat posed by radical Islam in the Middle East. This is not only the extremist nature of the actions of Islamic groups in the region, which is growing every year, but also the expansion of the geography and tools of terrorism.
Unions
Recently, we have been increasingly observing the consolidation of various allied associations. This is evidenced, on the one hand, by the summits of Donald Trump and the leaders of Israel, South Korea, Japan, Britain and other leading European countries, and, on the other hand, by the meetings of heads of state within the framework of the BRICS bloc, which involves new international partners. During the talks, not only trade, economic and political issues are discussed, but also all sorts of aspects of military cooperation.
The well-known military analyst Joachim Hagopian emphasized back in 2015 that the “recruitment of friends” by America and Russia is not accidental. China and India, in his opinion, will be drawn into the orbit of Russia, and the European Union will inevitably follow the United States. This is supported by the intensified exercises of NATO countries in Eastern Europe and a military parade with the participation of Indian and Chinese units on Red Square.
Sergei Glazyev, adviser to the President of Russia, says that it would be beneficial and even fundamentally important for our country to create a coalition of any countries that do not support militant rhetoric directed against the Russian state. Then, according to him, the United States will be forced to moderate its ardor.
At the same time, it will be of great importance what position Turkey will take, which is almost a key figure capable of acting as a catalyst for relations between Europe and the Middle East, and, more broadly, between the West and the countries of the Asian region. What we are seeing now is a cunning game of Istanbul on the differences between the US and Russia.
Resources
Foreign and domestic analysts tend to conclude that a global war could be provoked by the global financial crisis. The most serious problem of the leading countries of the world lies in the close interweaving of their economies: the collapse of one of them will entail serious consequences for others.
The war that may follow a devastating crisis will be fought not so much for territory as for resources. For example, analysts Alexander Sobyanin and Marat Shibutov build the following hierarchy of resources that the beneficiary will receive: people, uranium, gas, oil, coal, mining raw materials, drinking water, agricultural land.
It is curious that, from the point of view of some experts, the status of a universally recognized world leader does not yet guarantee the United States victory in such a war. In the past, NATO Commander-in-Chief Richard Schiffer, in his book 2017: War with Russia, predicted a defeat for the United States, the cause of which would be the financial collapse and collapse of the American army.
Who is first?
Today, the trigger that could set off the mechanism, if not of a world war, then of a global clash, could be the crisis on the Korean Peninsula. Joachim Hagopian, however, predicts that it is fraught with the use of nuclear charges and at first Russia and the United States will not get involved in it.
Glazyev does not see serious grounds for a global war, but notes that its risk will persist until the United States gives up its claims to world domination. The most dangerous period, according to Glazyev, is the beginning of the 2020s, when the West will emerge from the depression, and developed countries, including China and the United States, will begin the next round of rearmament. At the peak of a new technological leap, the threat of global conflict will be hidden.
It is characteristic that the famous Bulgarian clairvoyant Vanga did not dare to predict the date of the start of the Third World War, indicating only that religious strife around the world would most likely become its cause.
"Hybrid Wars"
Not everyone believes in the reality of World War III. Why go for mass casualties and destruction, if there is a long-tried and more effective means - "hybrid war". The "White Paper", intended for the commanders of the special forces of the American army, in the section "Win in a complex world" contains all the exhaustive information on this subject.
It says that any military operations against the authorities primarily imply implicit and covert actions. Their essence is the attack of rebel forces or terrorist organizations (which are supplied from abroad with money and weapons) on government structures. Sooner or later, the existing regime loses control over the situation and leaves its country at the mercy of the sponsors of the coup.
The Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces, General Valery Gerasimov, considers "hybrid warfare" a means that is many times superior in results to any open military clashes.
Capital can do anything
Nowadays, not only conspiracy theorists are sure that both world wars were largely provoked by the Anglo-American financial corporations, which extracted fabulous profits from militarization. And their ultimate goal is the establishment of the so-called "American peace".
“Today we are on the verge of a grandiose reformatting of the world order, the instrument of which will again be war,” says writer Alexei Kungurov. It will be a financial war of world capitalism directed mainly against the developing countries.
The task of such a war is to give the periphery no chance for any kind of independence. In underdeveloped or dependent countries, a system of external currency management is established, which forces them to exchange their output, resources and other material values for dollars. The more transactions, the more the American machine will print currencies.
But the main goal of world capital is the "Heartland": the territory of the Eurasian continent, most of which is controlled by Russia. Whoever owns the "Heartland" with its colossal resource base will own the world - so said the English geopolitician Halford Mackinder.
The third world war is a hypothetical conflict between political entities (states, political groups, and so on) with the possibility of a third time in the world.
In the 20th century, the most likely participants in the Third World War could be the superpowers of the USA and the USSR. Since the end of the 20th century - the beginning of the 21st century, the Third World War has been called a potential military conflict that may arise as an escalation after the use of nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction by new nuclear powers that antagonize each other (for example, India and Pakistan) or as a counteracting action during internationally prohibited development its nuclear missile potential (for example, the DPRK and Iran), or as a nuclear war between Russia and the United States, initiated by the authorities, careless actions or out of control representatives of one of the parties.
Analyst forecasts
Joachim Hagopian, a well-known military analyst, has been warning since 2015 that the recruitment of “friends” by the US and Russia is not accidental. China and India will follow Russia in any case, and the EU countries have no choice but to accept America's policy. In Korea, Hagopian predicted military neutrality with respect to both powers, but a rather stormy internecine war with the possibility of activating nuclear charges. It can be assumed that the day when the powerful weapon is put into action is the date of the beginning of the Third World War.
Alexander Richard Schiffer, an interesting personality and former head of NATO, in his book: "2017: War with Russia", predicted the defeat of the United States due to financial collapse, followed by the collapse of the American army.
Vladimir Zhirinovsky, as always, is unambiguous and says what the majority is delicately silent about. He is confident that America will not start any open action until all the countries involved in the military conflict squabble among themselves in collapse, and, exhausted, lay down what remains of their weapons. Then the US will generously gather up the dejected losers and emerge as the sole winner.
Sergei Glazyev, Advisor to the President of the Russian Federation, proposes to create a coalition that fundamentally does not support a military policy against Russia. The set of countries that are officially ready to speak out in favor of renunciation of armed conflict, according to him, will be such that America will simply be forced to moderate its appetites.
Where will the third world war start?
According to Isak Svensson, professor of peace and conflict studies, there are three factors that hinder war more than others.
All of them are now collapsing, largely because of Trump and rising nationalism.
1. International organizations
“One of the goals of the UN, the OSCE (Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe), the EU and similar organizations is to reduce the risk of armed conflict. But because Trump is constantly trying to dismantle international cooperation, these organizations may weaken. This will affect the risk of war,” says Isak Svensson.
2. International trade
During his campaign, Trump accused China of "raping" the American economy. Therefore, many experts expected that he would impose customs duties on Chinese goods, which would result in a full-fledged trade war.
"So far it hasn't happened, but at least he signaled that he's not particularly interested in encouraging free trade," Isak Svensson said.
3. Democracy
The two democracies have never been at war with each other. But the wave of nationalism that has swept the world can rock democracies.
“Populist nationalism has targeted democratic institutions: universities, courts, media, electoral bodies, and so on. This is noticeable in the United States under Trump, in Hungary, Poland and Russia, for example,” says Isak Svensson.
Prophecies about World War III
Norwegian fisherman Anton Johansson (1858-1929): “World War III will begin in mid-July - early August. Summer in northern Sweden. There is no snow yet on the Norwegian mountains. In the year the war begins, there will be a hurricane in spring or autumn.
Prediction by Hermann Kappelmann of Scheidingen: “In a few years a terrible war will break out. Forerunners of the approaching war will be primrose in the pastures and widespread unrest. But this year, nothing will start. But when the short winter passes, everything blooms prematurely, and it will seem that everything is calm around, then no one will believe in the world anymore.
"Forest prophet" Mulchiazl (1750-1825): "One of the noticeable signs of the approaching war will be" building fever ". Building will be everywhere. And everything will not look like houses, including buildings resembling honeycombs. When people are so carried away by their arrangement, as if they were never going to leave the earth, then the "great destruction of the world" will begin.
Abbé Couricier (1872): “A strong struggle will begin. The enemy will literally pour in from the East. In the evening you will still say “peace!”, “peace!”, And the next morning they will already be at your doorstep. In the year when a powerful military confrontation begins, the spring will be so early and good that in April the cows will be driven out to the meadows, oats will still not be harvested, but wheat can be.
Vanga, the famous Bulgarian soothsayer, said in the seventies of the 20th century: “When the field flower stops smelling, when a person loses the ability to sympathize, when the river water becomes dangerous ... then a general destructive war will break out”; “War will be everywhere, between all peoples…”; "The truth about the end of the world should be sought in old books"; “What is written in the Bible will come true. Apocalypse is coming! Not you, but your children will then live! “Mankind is destined for many more cataclysms and turbulent events. The consciousness of people will also change. Hard times are coming, people will be divided by their faith. The most ancient teaching will come into the world. They ask me when this will happen, soon? No, not soon. Syria hasn't fallen yet...
Andrey Kobyakov, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Deputy Editor-in-Chief of the Odnako magazine, answers questions
- Andrei Borisovich, last year we talked with you about the fact that the United States is trying to find a way out of the economic crisis by unleashing local wars (Libya, Syria). Since then, the situation has worsened. Wars are already going on not only in the Middle East, but also in Ukraine.
Indeed, the world is in crisis. The situation now resembles the Great Depression of the 1930s, which ended with World War II. It turns out that we are on the verge of the Third World War. I am somewhat reassured by the presence of nuclear. This factor keeps the US from starting an all-out war against its competitors. Although if you remember, then weapons of mass destruction were sometimes excluded from major military conflicts. Germany did not use chemical weapons during World War II, although it did so repeatedly during World War I, as did other countries. So far, we do not know cases of the use of nuclear weapons in local wars.
Wars are going on in Eurasia, as the United States is trying to weaken its competitors - China and Russia - with their help. According to the theory of economic cycles by Nikolai Kondratiev, the depressive phase of the development of the world economy will continue until approximately 2025, so we will see an aggravation of conflicts.
Depression
- That is, talk about the gradual exit of the world economy from the crisis is wishful thinking?
- Yes. Looking at objective data, there has been no improvement in the global economy over the past year. In particular, if we consider unemployment in the United States according to their old methods, which were revised in the 1990s, it turns out that the number of unemployed there already exceeds 20% of the able-bodied population. Modern methods exclude from the number of unemployed those people who have ceased to officially look for work (despaired). The US authorities believe that these people have switched to self-sufficiency (cultivating their own garden or begging). At the same time, new “bubbles” are inflating in the US economy. Quotes in the stock market are breaking records, as colossal amounts are pumped into it. The United States needs this in order to demonstrate its strength. We see that the fading world hegemon is making desperate efforts to maintain its position and not collapse. That is why the United States and its allies are putting such pressure on Russia. The American elite hopes to save its position by tying Europe to itself and withdrawing it from active ties in Eurasia, in order to possibly provoke a large-scale conflict between Russia and China. Indeed, in the first half of the 20th century, Great Britain and the United States were already fighting the rapidly growing Germany with the help of Russia.
- American analysts do not hide the fact that their main nightmare is Russia's alliance with industrialized China and Germany, which are vital to Russian natural resources.
- This is true, because such an alliance will put an end to American world domination. That is why we see that the US is forcing Germany and the EU to impose sanctions against Russia. I communicate a lot with representatives of German business, who either already work or want to work with Russia. There are a lot of events that bring together representatives of Russian and German business. German companies tried to resist the imposition of sanctions against Russia. Informed Germans, on condition of anonymity, told me that representatives of the American embassy in Germany came to the heads of the largest corporations in Germany and threatened them with problems in the American market if they did not "voluntarily" curtail their cooperation with Russia. Business does not want to conflict, but it is under enormous pressure. In politics, the situation is even more complicated. Those people who are inclined towards partnership with Russia are in opposition in most European countries. Obviously, if Gerhard Schroeder were Chancellor of Germany today, we would see a different picture and the US would be forced to behave more restrained.
But the fight continues. Let's hope common sense will prevail.
If we talk about China, then in the deterioration of Russia's relations with the US and the EU, this country opens up prospects for itself. Chinese companies naturally want to strengthen their positions in the Russian market. Similar opinions are expressed by representatives of Latin American countries, as well as Turkey and Iran.
– But they will also try to quarrel with China.
- Naturally, they will. But here, too, we need to be able to defend our interests so as not to suffocate in the strong embrace of China. Obviously, China has both money and experience in implementing huge infrastructure projects, and technologies that they copied from Western countries. Recently, Russia has been trying to build a Eurasian Union, so far on the basis of countries that were previously part of the USSR. But here, too, our interests collide with China's. This is especially noticeable in Central Asia. Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Turkmenistan cooperate with both Russia and China. Moreover, China is behaving much more actively here. In order to maintain a balance of interests and prevent a Russian-Chinese conflict, every opportunity will have to be used. Including the development of cooperation within the framework of the BRICS (eng. BRICS - short for Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) and the SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization).
Alternative
- Recently, there has been a lot of talk about creating a financial system alternative to the dollar. Is such a system possible?
- Such a system already exists, China created it on the basis of the yuan. Recently, for example, information appeared that the Shanghai Stock Exchange began trading gold futures. Consequently, the PRC will take part in the formation of the world price for this strategic asset, which has long been considered a backing of the currency. China is constantly buying huge amounts of gold on the world market. At the same time, information on China's gold reserves has not been updated for several years. I will not be surprised if it is announced in the near future that China's gold reserves are 4-5 thousand tons, and not 1 thousand tons, as is commonly believed. Thus, China will take the second place after the USA in terms of gold reserves.
The other day, the British finance minister said that the yuan has every chance of becoming the new world reserve currency and the British decided to participate in this. In particular, they placed bonds denominated in yuan. London has already become the largest non-Asian offshore yuan settlement center. And if you look at the countries that are leading in terms of the volume of trade for the yuan, then here we will see the same Great Britain, as well as Germany and France. Former leader Singapore occupies only fourth place. The yuan has already become the world's trading currency. Soon it will also become a reserve currency, as it will be backed by China's gold reserves.
A huge amount of fiat dollars weighs on the global economy. Most likely, in the near future we will see attempts by China to tie the yuan to the gold standard. As you know, the United States abandoned the gold backing of the dollar in the early 1970s. As a result, this led to the fact that there are hundreds of times more virtual money in the world than the goods that can be bought for them.
- And what are the prospects for the Russian ruble?
- Let's be realistic. The share of the Russian economy in world GDP is, according to various estimates, 2-4%. Adding Kazakhstan and Belarus to our indicators will not improve the situation much. Obviously, we need powerful allies to play a meaningful role in the world. Such allies could be Iran, Vietnam, Turkey, and then India. These countries show a strong interest in Russia's integration initiatives. In this center of power, a currency that is potentially capable of becoming a world currency can begin to circulate. Today, the ruble is the regional currency. In the Eurasian Union, it accounts for more than 90% of trade turnover. It is no secret that Russia produces a lot of hydrocarbon raw materials, metals, including gold. These resources may well become the collateral for the ruble, especially in the context of the global economic crisis.
- And how can Western countries solve the problem of their gigantic debt? Announce default?
- Rather, they will bet on hyperinflation. They are already on this path. Inflation can be considered in different ways. While there are countries with cheap labor, consumer goods are cheap, but this does not mean that there is no inflation. If we look at works of art or collectible wines, we see that their price is constantly rising.
The United States cannot default, as China can quickly take its place in the world. US default is possible only in the event of some kind of global war, when the allies will be forced to hold on to the Americans.
instability
- American analysts hope that sooner or later China will plunge into the abyss of instability. They constantly keep records of popular unrest in China.
- An unstable China would really help the US maintain its dominant position in the world. But I don't think we're going to see an unstable China anytime soon. The Chinese elite is multi-layered, the army, for example, will never allow a civil war.
The US itself is experiencing big problems with internal stability. Recently, the US population has been growing exclusively at the expense of non-whites. By 2050, non-whites are projected to become the majority in the United States. As a result, the country will face a severe social conflict: the majority of pensioners will be white, and Hispanics and blacks will have to support them. Already, we often hear about racially motivated military clashes in the United States.
In addition, a civil war is actually going on in neighboring Mexico. Moreover, the war is going on in the areas bordering the United States, and not in the depths of the country. In 2006-2013, more than 70,000 people died here, including about 100 US citizens, during clashes between drug cartels and military units. Instability from Mexico may well spread to the southern states of the United States, where there are already more Hispanics than whites. As you know, Texas and California were previously part of Mexico and were conquered by the United States in the 19th century. Many researchers believe that sooner or later these states may demand independence from the United States. In 2013, Texas accounted for over 35% of US oil production. And California with its Silicon Valley is the center of high technology development. As you know, there is no American diaspora in China, and the Chinese diaspora in the United States is very numerous, so it's a big question who destabilizes whom.
The Americans had high hopes that they would be able to destabilize the PRC's financial system when it became fully open. But so far, the Chinese are opening their financial market very carefully and they manage to use the global financial system to their advantage. Although China has problems in the financial sector, in particular, a very significant share of the so-called bad debts.
Not many today represent the real size of the PRC economy. Real Chinese GDP is at least twice that of the US. You see, when the cost of a large plasma TV in China was $120, in the US it was sold for $3,500, and in the Chinese market such a TV could be bought for $400. This suggests that China's GDP, calculated at purchasing power parity, will be significantly higher than that of the US or the EU. At the same time, economic growth of 7.2% per year leads to a doubling of GDP in 10 years. China is growing at 7.5% annually, while the US is practically marking time. It's no secret that 80% of US GDP comes from the service sector. The de facto United States is no longer a great industrial power. The only sector of industry in which the Americans have retained their leadership is the production of weapons. That is why they constantly start wars - bombs and rockets must explode, otherwise they will fill all the warehouses very quickly.
– In this regard, it is obvious that the Americans will try to destabilize the situation in Russia as well.
- Of course they will. In war as in war.
Mankind is on the verge of the Third World War. The doomsday clock shows two minutes to midnight. Never before in history have people been so close to using weapons of mass destruction.
North Korea successfully launches a rocket once again. President of Russia Vladimir Putin talks about a new weapon capable of turning the world into radioactive ash. And on the website of the channel "Russia 24" there is an article about what to take with you to the bomb shelter. Coincidence? We don't think! If not today, then tomorrow the butterfly will flap its wings, and the world will plunge into the chaos of the Third World War.
What do intellectuals think about the prospects for World War III? Will she happen? What will lead to it? What fate awaits Belarus?
Writer Viktor Martinovich: There will be no place for Belarus in the new world
I am disturbed by the concentration of hatred that is in the air. I just don't understand this global rage and hatred.
The world is successfully sliding into the Third World War. Having Donald Trump as president of the United States and Vladimir Putin as president of Russia is just the perfect situation that leads to war. It doesn't matter where the "bombing" is: in Syria, North Korea or somewhere else. Given the accumulation of armaments that is now happening on both sides, sooner or later this will happen.
I just returned from Istanbul. The city, which has always been a relaxed secular, cultural capital, is now blocked by patrols, police vans with water cannons are stationed every 500 meters. And this is a completely new situation for Istanbul, which I do not remember.
When the "rubilovo" begins, to which the matter is going, then the regions, continents, land will be divided into pieces. What is Belarus like here? As a result of each world war there was a redivision of the world. And that's what I fear the most. I am afraid that there will be no place left for Belarus in this new world. But this, unfortunately, will be the smallest problem that will bother me and you at that moment.
Political scientist Yevgeny Preigerman: Nuclear weapons deter the world from the Third World War
I do not have the feeling that we are on the verge of the Third World War. But there is a feeling that the world is going a little crazy. This is a typical phenomenon for conflicts that are just beginning. For the last twenty years we have had a stable system of international relations, and now we see that those rules and systemic things that gave us a sense of stability and predictability no longer work.
The factor of nuclear weapons is the guaranteed murder of all mankind. This is what kept the world during the Cold War from turning it into a "hot" one.
Man has a habit of unlearning certain things. Previously, the memory of the World War gave us a reason to say: "Never again", and historical processes fundamentally changed because of this. But time passes, and some things begin to be forgotten.
I would like to hope that the evolution of mankind also affects some of our humanistic ideas. And, at least, the feeling of points or lines through which it is impossible to pass is formed.
Philosopher Maxim Goryunov: Russians do not exclude war, they take it into account. Russian culture is ready for war
We all live in the illusion that "it won't happen again." The report by Steven Pinker, the books of Douglas North and other sociologists say that the level of violence in the world is declining. And we believe in it. We believe that global war is something of the past. This is a beautiful, kind and pleasant illusion that we are interested in believing in. But man is an aggressive being. I think war can happen.
It seems to me that Russian culture is absolutely military. The rallies in Volokolamsk are very indicative in this sense. Speeches at these meetings of ordinary people, tribunes, that of the people. The metaphors they used were entirely based on war movies. They have no other metaphors in their heads. These people were in a critical, stressful situation; this could be the first or second rally in their entire lives. They are worried. And when a person is worried, he speaks the language of "basic education", a vision of the world. And in this situation, most of them used the metaphor of war. They came to the rally, and they regarded it as a war.
The metaphor of war is part of the modern Russian worldview. Outside of St. Petersburg and Moscow, Soviet and imperial inertia concerning the war is still at work. In all of Russia, except for these two cities, they are ready for war. This manifests itself at the level of life planning. People do not exclude war, they take it into account, they are ready for it. War would be to the hearts of the Russian people. Russian culture is ready for war.
Belarusians, as far as I understand them, have a different perception of the war. First of all, it is a punitive action for them. First Soviet, then Nazi, then Soviet again. The Belarusian idea of war is not so much about the front line and battles, but about how to escape from the punishers, how to hide from them so that you don’t get hooked, some kind of unobtrusive collaboration is possible, just to save your family. Unlike Russia, where people talk about the war as a victory, for Belarus, war is grief. It's like a plague, cruel and terrible. And what to do when the "black death" comes? Need to be saved.
Science fiction writer Alexei Shein: We are not New Zealand or Switzerland, we are at the break of two civilizations
I see two main lines along which the world can split. This is a line of political confrontation and new technologies. And in terms of politics, I think there are three clear points: the issue of the Middle East, around Israel and the countries around it; the situation around North Korea; the situation around Russia and its immediate neighbors, the desire of Russia to return parts of the former Soviet Union or the Russian Empire. As for technology, the issue of artificial intelligence is very ambiguous. We don't know what its development might lead to. I agree with those futurists and researchers who say that this technology can be dangerous.